World Economic Outlook Has Turned Downward

Discussion in 'West Mall' started by Musburger1, Jan 15, 2016.

  1. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

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    Some follow-up here - biggest holders of offshore cash (the amounts are millions)

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  2. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    $2.3T of market cap in 6 US tech stocks

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  3. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

  4. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    Obama's economic record is the worst of any US president in at least the last 60 years

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  5. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    'Participation' in the US is still getting big boost from plunge in the number of employed exiting the labor force each month

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  6. Musburger1

    Musburger1 2,500+ Posts

    http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presidential-race/2016/08/09/wages-shock-drop-americans/
    Monster downward revision to wages today. Who knows what you can believe whenever you read a press release now days. How on earth do you come out with a report claiming wage increases of 4.2 percent and then revise it down to -0.4 percent?

    Federal data released Aug. 9 shows that Americans’ wages are dropping again, seven years after President Barack Obama declared the economy had recovered from the property-bubble — and three months before the 2016 election.

    The dramatic drop was buried in an Aug. 9 report by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which said that officials have radically revised their prior claim that wages grew 4.2 percent in the first quarter, from January to March.

    “Real hourly compensation decreased 0.4 percent after revision, rather than the previously-published increase of 4.2 percent,” the BLS admitted. Compensation also fell another 1.4 percent in the second quarter, from April to June, the BLS admitted in the same report. That’s 2 percent drop in wages since December.
     
  7. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

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  8. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    The biggest monetary experiment in history-- negative yield "theory" now in practice.....


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    Last edited: Aug 16, 2016
  9. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    2Q GDP revised down (1.1%)

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    and per capita GDP is even worse

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  10. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    For the Brexit-haters

    Annual GDP Growth Rates
    UK 2.2%
    USA 1.1%
     
  11. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

  12. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

  13. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

  14. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    Cicero tried to warn us about people like this

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  15. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

  16. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

  17. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

  18. nashhorn

    nashhorn 5,000+ Posts

    SH or NH will you please explain away the above post by JF. The implication is kinda scary to me so hoping you will refute them. Thanks.
     
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  19. Seattle Husker

    Seattle Husker 10,000+ Posts

    Neither I nor NH have attempted to explain away "every post" but rather call crazy 'crazy'. I have no idea whether that graphic is true or not nor the inclination to research it.
     
  20. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    Goodnight John Boy

    (Walton's just lost $3.2B)
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  21. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

  22. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    Gulf States GDP growth between 2005-2014

    Qatar: 377%
    Oman: 156%
    Saudi: 129%
    UAE: 122%
    Kuwait: 115%
    Iran: 80%

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  23. Seattle Husker

    Seattle Husker 10,000+ Posts

    Why leave out 2015/2016? How does that metric correspond to the price of oil?
     
  24. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts


    i give what i have
    you always want more
     
  25. Seattle Husker

    Seattle Husker 10,000+ Posts

    Isn't context of what you post important? Clearly you post it to invoke a response. What response were you hoping to achieve?
     
  26. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    If you have the 2015 and 2016 GDP numbers for the Gulf States and you want to post them, then post them

    No one is stopping you
     
  27. Seattle Husker

    Seattle Husker 10,000+ Posts


    Trending Economics shows a bubble that corresponds to peak oil prices in 2010/2011 for each of those countries. Looking at the 10yr average for these countries it's obvious.

    Here are a few links for annual GDP growth rate:
    Saudi Arabia
    Qatar

    Now, why did your source pick 2014 as a stopping place? Look at actual GDP for those countries in 2015. They took a significant step back due to collapse of oil prices.
    Saudi Arabia: 2014 GDP $754B, 2015 GDP $646B
    Qatar: 2014 GDP $210B, 2015 GDP $167B

    As you know, when using these numbers a change to a smaller number can have a much bigger % impact than to a larger number. In other words. it's impossible to for our economy to show that type of % increase simply because we are already so large. This is the equivalent to stock valuations that blue chips endure. As some point, you are too large to move the needle thus adding billions into their bank account has a marginal impact on their stock price. It's similar to % change of GDP for the US at this point.
     
    Last edited: Dec 6, 2016
  28. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

  29. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    the Chinese are getting nervous about their currency.
    This is USD/CNY daily -- the past 2-days rally is the fastest in 4 yrs and is now pushing 8-year highs

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  30. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    'Euro parity' google searches are higher now than after Brexit


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