The problem with Walter's analysis is twofold. First, it ignores Texas. If they lose big city suburbs, Texas can flip, and doing well in the Cincinnati and Cleveland suburbs doesn't help much if you lose the Dallas and Houston suburbs and therefore don't carry Texas.
Second, it doesn't account for the House where state lines and the electoral college don't help us. We can't get completely skunked in places like the suburbs of California and New York and hope to retake the House.
Last edited: Sep 15, 2019