Now Rs +430,165
Should have said 'growling by the minute'
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edit -- Now Rs +431,154
And Dem EV lead (in vote by mail + in person) down to D+189,754
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Remember that these are inferences based off voter registration (has nothing to do with polling). If Dems crush it with independents in Florida (which arent reflected), Biden would still have a good chance. But that is a huge IF.
Likewise, another weakness of this type of projection is that they do not include "crossovers." There will be some, but I cant see very many R-to-D crossovers with Trump's super high approval rate among registered Republicans. But, as with all things, we will see
Last edited: Oct 29, 2020