Their chances of winning by going for it there were certainly higher than their chances of winning in OT. It's not even a complex analytics decision, it's the clear-cut right choice. Doesn't mean it works every time - just like kicking the FG wouldn't work every time because you lose in overtime plenty to Derrick Henry and company...
It's like throwing to a wide-open receiver vs a covered one, and then the guy drops the ball. That result still doesn't mean you made the wrong throw...
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Agree x 1
Last edited: Oct 19, 2021