General Presidential Campaign: Trump vs Hillary

Discussion in 'West Mall' started by mchammer, Jun 20, 2016.

  1. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    It appears Trump is leading early voting in FLA by 120k

     
    • Like Like x 2
  2. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    This debate will be great television. It will bring in many viewers who might not otherwise watch because everyone wants to see if Clinton can power through a full 90 minutes on her feet without a coughing up a lung, or collapsing. Add to that the interest in the reaction of the moderator after Matt Lauer was skewered for a solid week simply because he dared ask HRC a question that had not been pre-approved by her campaign. And now we have the added spectacle of the green-with-envy Cuban seated beside Hillary's former competition for Bill. It's going to be a ratings blowout.
     
  3. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    You may want to be sitting down for this

    but

    believe it

    or not

    the New York Times

    has

    endorsed

    for President

    --wait for it --

    Hillary Clinton

    It cites her for bringing "a raft of pragmatic ideas" to the election.
    LOL

    Its last Republican endorsement for the presidency by the NYT was Dwight D. Eisenhower.
     
  4. Mr. Deez

    Mr. Deez Beer Prophet

    I have every confidence that the ratings will be high for the same reason people slow down on the freeway to get a good look at a nasty carwreck.
     
    • Like Like x 2
  5. Brad Austin

    Brad Austin 2,500+ Posts

    Guess Cuban didn't read the story about DMN subscriptions taking a dive once they endorsed HRC.

    Same area and now he wants to be the guy who attempts to rattle Trump to help HRC win the debate and election?

    When are these dumbsh*ts gonna learn. If your business relies on the mass public purchasing your entertainment, stay out of this overheated political landscape.

    Either side one publicly flaunts, a ton of previous customers are gonna drop their product in an instant...especially in a state that's mostly loyal to the other side.

    I was a casual Mavs fan until Cuban started this nonsense, now his team can suck it. Never watch or go to another Mavs game again.

    It's one thing to favor, vote for, and even donate to a candidate. Quite another to physically try to disrupt a major event and alter the race.
     
  6. militaryhorn

    militaryhorn Prediction Contest Manager

    First of all, I resemble this remarkable.

    Second, you sure you didn't mean Carlos Dangler?
     
  7. Mr. Deez

    Mr. Deez Beer Prophet

    OK, I didn't intend to insult the guys on Hornfans who might buy porn. It's not my business, especially for dudes in the military.

    Well, if he had gone with Carlos Dangler, I would have been a lot more impressed.
     
    • Like Like x 1
  8. Mr. Deez

    Mr. Deez Beer Prophet

    Another bogus Trump graphic. Florida's early voting doesn't start until October 29. Link.
     
  9. NJlonghorn

    NJlonghorn 2,500+ Posts

    Hold on tight there, Deez. Are you telling the that something Joe Fan posted was a complete and utter fabrication? Do we need to start questioning the other stuff he posts?
     
  10. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    Google says it starts Oct 24, which I think it caused by state election law allowing some counties to start the process early.
    In any event, the stats given are the number of mail-in ballot requests received per party
     
    Last edited: Sep 25, 2016
  11. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts


    Here is the part I actually wrote --
    Assuming the number early voting ballots request by party are correct as stated, then it does appear accurate, as I stated. As of the time it was tweeted.

    Do you have any facts of your own to counter this? Any facts at all?
    Or, just more emoting?
     
    Last edited: Sep 25, 2016
  12. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

     
  13. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    West Virginia per JWS/WVGOP Poll:
    Trump 57% (+27)
    Clinton 30%
    Johnson 4%
    http://wvmetronews.com/2016/09/19/g...uch-closer-than-metronews-west-virginia-poll/
    --------------------------------

    Maine 2nd District per U of NH. Maine and Nebraska are only states that allow splitting of electoral votes. Maines gives two votes for the statewide winner and one vote for the winner of each congressional district
    Trump 48 (+14)
    Clinton 34
    http://www.pressherald.com/2016/09/...lectoral-college-vote-split-in-2016-election/
    ----------------------------------

    Utah per Salt Lake Tribune-Hinckley Institute.
    Trump 34 (+9)
    Clinton 25
    Johnson 13
    McMullin 12
    Stein 1
    http://www.sltrib.com/home/4390081-...ton?utm_medium=twitter&utm_source=twitterfeed
    ---------------------------------------

    Missouri per CBSNews /YouGov.
    Trump 46 (+9)
    Clinton 37
    Johnson 5
    Stein 2
    https://today.yougov.com/news/2016/09/25/race-tightens-va-trump-down-1-co-9-mo/
    ---------------------------------------

    Colorado @CBSNews /YouGov
    Clinton 40 (+1)
    Trump 39
    Johnson 7
    Stein 2
    ------------------------

    LA Times

    [​IMG]
     
  14. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    Hillary/Kaine thought they had Virginia wrapped up, so they cut staff there. Oops
    --------------------------

    "...... Thanks to two polls, Trump partisans are no longer glum about Virginia, a state that President Obama won twice and Hillary Clinton led by 16 percentage points over Trump in a Roanoke College poll last month.

    Indeed, Trump was doing so poorly following the Republican convention in July that the Clinton campaign cut back on its effort in Virginia. This made sense once Virginia senator Tim Kaine was tapped as Clinton's vice presidential running mate. Many Republican strategists agreed a Clinton victory was baked in the cake.

    No more. Oddly enough, it was a poll by UMW, directed by Farns-worth and released on September 15, that roused Trump backers. It showed him trailing Hillary by three points, 40-37 percent. And in Roanoke College's new poll, Clinton lost nine points and now leads Trump 44 to 37 percent.

    Even before the encouraging polls, the Trump campaign, the Republican National Committee, and the Virginia GOP had quietly begun building a ground game in Virginia with nearly 350 paid staffers and 30 offices. "The last three weeks have been crazy in terms of investment," says Republican state chairman John Whitbeck. "We've given Donald Trump the greatest ground game possible. ......."


    (written by Trump-haters at Weekly Standard) http://www.weeklystandard.com/virginia-slim-the-race-tightens/article/2004501
     
  15. texas_ex2000

    texas_ex2000 2,500+ Posts

    Virginia is a perfect example of how Hillary can lose this election. A whole bunch of conservative rural voters (folks that watch NASCAR and Virginia Tech football like a religion), essentially the entire Commonwealth with the exception of Tidewater and DC/NoVA area, have generally just accepted the fact that the electoral demographics have been changing over the past 12 years with the urban/millennial/liberal growth in those two metro areas. However, Hillary is the line in the sand with them. They are motivated and the liberals in the metro areas are not excited about Hillary. They're sick of their representation being diluted away by the growth of liberal carpetbaggers moving to work for the growing federal government. A good ground game in Virginia could defintely work. It's an uphill battle, but it could work.

    It wouldn't surprise me if a whole bunch of military voters (massive demographic in Virginia) from red states change their registration to Virginia for the election.
     
    Last edited: Sep 25, 2016
  16. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    Al Gore worked very hard to disenfranchise military voters in 2000.
    Expect Clinton/Kaine to do same
     
  17. Mr. Deez

    Mr. Deez Beer Prophet

    Joe, I can only speak for myself, and I may have been the only one interpret your comment this way. However, to me your comment means that early voting has begun and that Trump is leading in those views by 120K. That's clearly incorrect.
     
  18. Mr. Deez

    Mr. Deez Beer Prophet

    Of course, that would be voter fraud, so I hope they don't do that.
     
  19. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    Perhaps inartfully plead.

    Nonetheless, +120k is statistically significant, for what it is.
     
  20. militaryhorn

    militaryhorn Prediction Contest Manager

    I don't think it is voter fraud. We are allowed to change our state of residence while serving. I did it from Texas to Alaska while I was stationed up there.

    As long as they have a residence in the state, they can get a license and register to vote.
     
  21. mchammer

    mchammer 10,000+ Posts

    I disagree. Early votes only count for real on Election Day. Until then, the definition is rather loose.
     
    • Like Like x 1
  22. Mr. Deez

    Mr. Deez Beer Prophet

    You are allowed to change your state of residence, but if you change your residence to a state that you have no connection to in order to impact an election, that's fraudulent.
     
  23. texas_ex2000

    texas_ex2000 2,500+ Posts

    Of course, but I was specficially referring to the huge military presence in Virginia registering in Virginia, a major swing state.

    Florida and North Carolina may be closer also.
     
  24. Mr. Deez

    Mr. Deez Beer Prophet

    You can interpret it how you want, as you can interpret anything how you want. I was simply pointing out how I read his comment. Like I said, I may have been the only one who read it that way.
     
  25. Mr. Deez

    Mr. Deez Beer Prophet

    That wouldn't be a problem for those stationed in Virginia. However, for it to make a difference, somebody would have to make it a coordinated effort and register large numbers of them. I'm not sure what Trump's ground game looks like in Virginia, but I have a hard time believing it's good enough to coordinate something like that.
     
  26. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

  27. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    The only other person agreeing with you is the same one who said--
    (1) The Hillary'08 Campaign had nothing to do with the start of birtherism,
    (2) Anyone who thinks HRC's health is an issue is an idiot,
    (3) and so on .....
     
  28. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts


    I would argue that it is just the opposite.

    Her main task is only to live through this debate, to not go into spasms or vomit up blood on stage. It is a victory for her if she can simply stand for 90 minutes without a stool. Seems like a pretty low bar.
     
  29. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    Bit of a shocker --

    COLORADO per CNN/ORC
    Sept. 20-25 LIKELY VOTERS
    Trump 42%
    Clinton 41%
    Johnson 13%
    Stein 3%


     
    • Like Like x 1
    Last edited: Sep 26, 2016
  30. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

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