Looks about right (with the Seattle and Arizona projection being the one that could go the other way); could quibble with some of the lower ranking records, but those will not matter in the end.
I think it's more likely that the Pats go undefeated than the Titans go 12-4. Mariota was already 10th in the league in passer rating last year... I don't see how slight improvement beyond that will net them 3 more wins.