2019-20 outlook

Discussion in 'Men’s Basketball' started by 22Horn, Sep 9, 2019.

  1. 22Horn

    22Horn 250+ Posts

    For you experts, with a roster that includes only 1 senior, what is the expectation for next year or so?
     
  2. Vol Horn 4 Life

    Vol Horn 4 Life 5,000+ Posts

    I'm no expert other than what my eyes have seen the last three years. I'd be surprised if we end the season at .500 or better this year. I'll put the O/U at 15.5 wins.

    With powerhouses like McNeese, Northern Colorado, Prairie View, UAB, High Point, Cal Baptist & Central Michigan on the schedule I think Shaka tried to build in 7 wins guaranteed this year before the season even starts so if we end up below 16 wins that tells you how bad of a situation we are in.

    If we go .500 in the other non conference games we're at 10 wins, but I'll take a shot and say we blow one extra game so we end at 9-4 in non conference. That leaves us only 7 conference wins away from hitting the 16 mark and I don't believe this coaching staff has enough gumption to win 7 conference games this year.

    Edit: My 15.5 O/U is the record before post season.
     
    Last edited: Sep 10, 2019
  3. Horns11

    Horns11 5,000+ Posts

    Yeah what he said. I'm saying 8-5 in nonconference and I'm concerned that we'll probably end up "8-8 ish" in conference. I'm doubting that the Big XII will be a great powerhouse in basketball this season, but either way, we're still kind of an NIT style team. Decent but with poor coaching and execution all around. We basically have the personnel for a small ball team but with no small ball players right now.

    Yaklich will help us improve our overall defensive numbers, but I think we lost way too much on the other side of the ball to help our record overcome it.

    We're going to see a steady stream of Coleman and Ramey pushing the ball into the offensive end with little plan and then dish it to Febres as an out. It will work sometimes but not as often as it won't work. If Drew Jones is healthy, he'll play, but I'm reserving judgment for how much he'll contribute. If he plays like he did post-HS injury when he was a senior and we finally get to see the "real" Jones, we'll be a tournament team. But that's a ****-ton to ask.

    Sims and Liddell will be our first group of bigs to play, but my guess is that Baker will steal more and more minutes just because of his presence on the defensive end and Smart bringing in help to keep the opponents from racking up points as quickly. The jury's out on whether he's going to play full speed on offense. I didn't see anything out of Hepa last year or any news over the summer that he'll have an increased role. Same for Hamm... he'll be depth at forward.

    Out of the newcomers, I really like Donovan Williams. He reminds me of a skinnier PJ Tucker... he just has a nose for the ball and gets offensive boards at a rate which is just odd for a tweener. I'm hoping he can play defense like Tucker and do "just enough" on offense to contribute.

    The opening roster against Northern Colorado will be veteran heavy, but by midseason, here's my ranking of the number of minutes each position will see:

    Guards:
    Coleman
    Ramey
    Febres
    Williams
    Jones**

    Forwards:
    Baker
    Sims
    Liddell
    Hamm
    Jones
    Hepa
    Cunningham
     
  4. Htown77

    Htown77 5,000+ Posts

    Our ceiling is repeating as NIT champions and establishing an NIT dynasty.
     
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  5. Chop

    Chop 1,000+ Posts

    I’m all in for Shaka. This is the year we turn it all around. Rah rah rah!
     
  6. sbmcruise

    sbmcruise 100+ Posts

    With the terrible home schedule who cares.
     
  7. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    I would not mind a team that could shoot well, for once

     
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    Last edited: Sep 23, 2019
  8. txlandagent

    txlandagent 500+ Posts

    This. Mark the tape.
     
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  9. Horns11

    Horns11 5,000+ Posts

    Even if the team is the "best shooting," because we made the most 3-pointers in the conference last year, what did that prove? That we shoot a lot of threes and still lose?

    UVA and Texas Tech made the national championship, and they were #92 and #108 in three pointers made.

    If this is really what Smart is touting going into 2019-20, instead of improved defense, smarter guard play, improved rebounding from the forwards, smarter shot selection from Febres, Baker manning the paint like a boss, and KU having a NCAA violation cloud hanging over their heads making the conference a wide-open race, then we should start passing around the boot for the buyout now.
     
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  10. MajesticII

    MajesticII 250+ Posts

    If we don't improve I see CDC swinging the axe....We are building a multi-million dollar complex, and Chris believes in selling tickets and filling the arena.. That isn't happening if our men's and women's programs don't start putting up Ws and challenging for conference titles. Aston could find herself on the hot-seat if she doesn't start closing the gap on Baylor. She doesn't have to actually take Baylor down, but she has to start putting pressure on them soon as a close second.
     
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  11. Htown77

    Htown77 5,000+ Posts

    The sad thing with Smart is, I do not think anyone feels Texas Women's Basketball is where it should be, yet it is lightyears ahead of where the Men's program is at. The women have 3 sweet sixteens and an elite 8 and Smart has 0 NCAA tournament wins. Smart is currently projected to miss the NCAA tournament all together for the 3rd time in 5 years.
     
  12. Htown77

    Htown77 5,000+ Posts

    Texas has not won an NCAA Tournament game in 5 seasons (1 with Barnes and 4 with Smart). Neither Rick Barnes nor Tom Penders ever had more than a 2 year drought. This is our first 3, 4 or 5 year drought since the late 1980s under Kaiser Bob, our last coach to never win an NCAA Tournament game.

    I will also note Barnes had a 3 year drought from his last year at Texas through his first 2 years at a worse Tennessee program. However, Barnes has won at least 1 NCAA Tournament game the last 2 seasons.

    If Shaka fails to make the NCAA Tournament this year, making it 5 years without an NCAA Tournament win, he has to be fired.... right?

    I know that Kaiser Bob got a full 6 seasons without an NCAA Tournament win before he was fired... but do we really want to wait that long?
     
    Last edited: Oct 2, 2019
  13. caryhorn

    caryhorn 5,000+ Posts

    ^^^Reminds me of how ineffectual this program has been. :facepalm:
     

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