2020 Presidential Election: let the jockeying commence

Discussion in 'West Mall' started by ProdigalHorn, Dec 6, 2018.

  1. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    Agree. On the youth vote, they got weed in 2016, which no doubt aided the Johnson total. But that is over and now they have Jo Jorganson (who went to SMU) instead of Gary Johnson. (So they just stay home and eat Cheetos? Or, have they been inspired by the oratorical mastery of Joe Biden? Seems unlikely, unless you are high. Maybe).

    Mormons have to break for Trump, right? I dont see another option for them. I think I saw there are 130k Mormons registered to vote in NV

    They also have some type of statewide gay marriage ballot this time. But I dont know if its a big motivator or not.
     
  2. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    He knows the media polls are baloney

     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  3. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    Colorado

    Like North Carolina, white voters, and particularly white, working-class voters, are over-performing in EV

    According to CNN exit polls from 2016, white voters cast 78% of all votes in Colorado. The breakdown was --
    Whites with a college degree 45%
    Non-college whites 33%

    As of today, whites have cast 87% of all the EV. Broken down by education:
    White EVs with a college degree 39%
    Non-college white EVs 48%

    So, in this state, the white share of the EV is +9 over 2016. And non-college educated whites are +9 in 2020 early voting
     
    Last edited: Oct 29, 2020
  4. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    Virginia

    Like North Carolina and Colorado, white voters, and particularly white, working-class voters, are over-performing in EV

    According to CNN exit polls from 2016, white voters cast 67% of all votes in Virginia. The breakdown was --
    Whites with a college degree 38%
    Non-college whites 29%

    As of today, whites have cast 78% of all the EV. Broken down by education:
    Whites early voters with a college degree 35.6%
    Non-college whites 42.5%

    In sum, while the college-educated white vote is down somewhat, the white, working-class early voters are way up -- from 29% in 2016 to 42.5% as of today. That's a big jump and its good news for Trump as well as the down-ballot races

    These 3 states indicate there is a surge by white voters, in particular a surge of working-class white voters, that is not properly reflected in the polling.

    And this surge makes NC, VA and Colorado all in play.
     
    • Like Like x 1
    Last edited: Oct 29, 2020
  5. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

  6. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    According to the Economist --
    41% of Trump supporters plan on voting on Election Day
    16% of Biden supporters say the same.
     
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    • Winner Winner x 1
  7. Horn6721

    Horn6721 Half of seeming clever is keeping your mouth shut.

    Hillary announces she is a dem elector for NY
    She has spoken to Biden lawyers, Dnc lawyers and groups of independent lawyers
    All ready to contest the outcome when Biden loses no matter how nany votes Trump gets
    The DMC will put our country through hell and Antifa/ BLM will burn it down
     
  8. Garmel

    Garmel 2,500+ Posts

    I guess it was so bad that it got nuked. :D
     
  9. mchammer

    mchammer 10,000+ Posts

    I wonder if it was a leaked internal poll.

    E41F13DB-F8B1-42CD-A344-78A736E152CF.jpeg
     
  10. mchammer

    mchammer 10,000+ Posts

  11. Garmel

    Garmel 2,500+ Posts

    Sounds a little too good to be true.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  12. mchammer

    mchammer 10,000+ Posts

    It could be poll of folks not yet voted, etc. Hard to know since they took it down.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  13. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

  14. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    Biden has lost rapper Lil Wayne

    [​IMG]
     
    • Funny Funny x 2
  15. Horn6721

    Horn6721 Half of seeming clever is keeping your mouth shut.

    That could be like losing Walter Cronkite
     
    • Funny Funny x 3
  16. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    MN is in play
    Possibly another hanging chad scenario
     
    • Like Like x 1
    Last edited: Oct 30, 2020
  17. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    Lots of rumors out there Hunter is trying to cut a deal
     
    • Funny Funny x 3
  18. Horn6721

    Horn6721 Half of seeming clever is keeping your mouth shut.

    LOL
    What kind of deal does he have left to cut?
    Not to release any more porn pics?
     
    • Funny Funny x 1
  19. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    LBoogy is impressed

    Kanye, Fiddy, Wayne, Ice Cube -- who next?

     
    Last edited: Oct 30, 2020
  20. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    flip on his relatives
     
    • Funny Funny x 1
    • WTF? WTF? x 1
  21. Horn6721

    Horn6721 Half of seeming clever is keeping your mouth shut.

    That Hunter is one honorable dude
     
  22. Joe Fan

    Joe Fan 10,000+ Posts

    I think one of his recovered emails said something like, "You know I wouldn't do well in prison"
     
    • Funny Funny x 2
  23. Horn6721

    Horn6721 Half of seeming clever is keeping your mouth shut.

    I didn't know until today he had an account at Porn.com and posted pics there
     
  24. Garmel

    Garmel 2,500+ Posts

    Trafalgar has moved Trump's lead to 2.5 in Michigan.

    [​IMG]
     
    • Like Like x 1
  25. nashhorn

    nashhorn 2,500+ Posts

    Good Lord, under blackmail potential is Hunter listed as number one?
     
    • Funny Funny x 2
    • Like Like x 1
  26. Horn6721

    Horn6721 Half of seeming clever is keeping your mouth shut.

    Walter Cronkite ain't chit to Lil Wayne who has 34 million twitter followers. :bow:
     
    • Like Like x 1
  27. mchammer

    mchammer 10,000+ Posts

  28. Horn2RunAgain

    Horn2RunAgain 500+ Posts

    I want to see trump win Michigan for the sole purpose of having gretchen whitmer experience nightmares for the rest of her life
     
    • Funny Funny x 5
    • Like Like x 2
  29. mchammer

    mchammer 10,000+ Posts

    Trump +3 in latest FL poll of Trafalger. Trump is down 2 in NV.
     
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  30. Garmel

    Garmel 2,500+ Posts

    The African-American vote to Trump will get even higher. Love it. :smokin:
     
    • Agree Agree x 1

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