Auburn -- Another SWEEP for the Horns!

C

Chop

10,000+ Posts
:bevo:
UT
Team ERA...................................................3.00
Opponents' Team ERA against us..........7.18
Delta..........................................................+4.18
Team WHIP................................................1.15

Team Batt Avg...........................................0.286
Team OPS..................................................0.909
Homeruns.................................................55




:auburn:
Auburn
Team ERA...................................................4.62
Opponents' Team ERA against them.....7.57
Delta..........................................................+2.95
Team WHIP................................................1.28

Team Batt Avg...........................................0.304
Team OPS..................................................0.905
Homeruns..................................................47
 
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Pitching: Our pitching is better overall, although their staff Ace, Samuel Dutton, 2.34 ERA, 1.14 WHIP in 50 innings, has better numbers than any of our starters. The game Dutton pitches in will be our toughest game. The other two starters are no slouches either, and while their bullpen isn't full of shutdown guys, it's full of a lot of depth of pretty good hurlers with pretty good numbers. Overall, we have a noticeable edge in pitching, but the one game that Dutton pitches, they will have the statistical edge on us.

Batting -- they have a lot of high batting average guys. This team is built to get a bunch of base hits. They don't have gaudy homerun numbers like Georgia, in fact, they hit less homeruns than us--but not by a large margin. Our team OPS is only very slightly above their team OPS. Without injuries, these are equal batting teams. But, alas, there are injuries. Will A-Rod be back and 100%? If not, they're a better batting team than us. In fact, when you take out Belyeu alone, they're a better batting team than us--but not by a whole lot. Slight-to-moderate advantage Auburn. Let's hope A-Rod is good-to-go.

Overall: These guys are good, and they're now up to #5 in the Nation per the RPI, which has decent validity at this point in the Season. On paper, it's a hard-fought series that could go either way, with slight-to-moderate odds in our favor to take 2 out of 3. If we were to somehow sweep them, that would be awesome. It is unlikely that Auburn will win both games where Dutton is not their starter, so if we were to get swept, that would be a bit of a surprise.
 
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Dutton -- he's very good

1744590429166.png
 
Samuel Dutton
RHP
5'11"
199 lbs
Senior - transfer from LSU
Southside, Alabama
Westbrook Christian High

1744592995889.png



Has lots of pitches in his repertoire.
- Fastball in the mid 90s, with good movement and a good 'finish to it'. Places it well; a Rembrandt with some velocity.
- Very good Curveball with a good drop at the plate; swing-and-miss Curveball
- Slider
- Good Changeup

Good command and control. Not many walks.

Transferred from LSU (probably because the food wasn't good enough... :rolleyes1: ).

"Samuel is a polished RHP prospect who has 3 quality pitches, commands his stuff well, and really competes on the mound. He uses a fast-paced delivery and a quick arm to attack hitters with his fastball that he runs into the low 90s. The pitch has good finish to it, and he throws it to both sides of the plate. Samuel mixes in a curveball that he can land for strikes or bury as a swing-and-miss pitch and he also has excellent feel for his change that is thrown with good arm speed. He is confident on the mound and the kind of guy you want to have the ball in a big game... Delivery is sound/repeatable as he shows good tempo through a strong balance point, allowing his arm action to work quick and free to the plate... Breaking ball displays 11/5 shape with late break and is an outstanding pitch that will get outs. Command/control is outstanding as he locates well to both sides of the plate. "

"Righthanded pitcher, up-tempo delivery and shows athleticism in repeating mechanics, leg lift up past belt with slight turn at top; works very quickly on mound and shows similar quickness to arm action working to a three-quarters release....Pounds the strike zone with fastball ... and induced uncomfortable swings from opposing hitters, pitched off of the fastball with comfort and showed running life. Landed both a curveball and slider for strikes, Curveball best at the lower band of velocity with depth to it through the zone; flashed an occasional changeup at 81 mph. Attacked hitters and mixed consistently."



www.perfectgame.org

Samuel Dutton Class of 2021 - Player Profile | Perfect Game USA

Samuel Dutton Class of 2021 Perfect Game Player Profile
www.perfectgame.org www.perfectgame.org

Samuel Dutton Stats & Scouting Report

www.baseballamerica.com www.baseballamerica.com

www.si.com

No. 9 Auburn Dominates Game 1 vs. No. 3 LSU as Samuel Dutton Haunts Former Team

Auburn Tigers pitcher Samuel Dutton was masterful in six innings against his former LSU Tigers team in Game 1 of a key SEC series.
www.si.com www.si.com



Baseball Factory | Top Prospects | Samuel Dutton

With professional coaches that provide personalized, world-class instruction, Baseball Factory is here to help every player take his game to the next level.
members.baseballfactory.com members.baseballfactory.com
 
Auburn is now ranked #5 in the Nation per the RPI, making this series a matchup of Top 5 teams. It's gonna be Huge, it's gonna be a tough battle.

:ut::auburn:
 
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Chop said:
:bevo:
UT
Team ERA...................................................3.00
Opponents' Team ERA against us..........7.18
Delta..........................................................+3.18
Team WHIP................................................1.15

Team Batt Avg...........................................0.286
Team OPS..................................................0.909
Homeruns.................................................55




:auburn:
Auburn
Team ERA...................................................4.62
Opponents' Team ERA against them.....7.57
Delta..........................................................+2.95
Team WHIP................................................1.28

Team Batt Avg...........................................0.304
Team OPS..................................................0.905
Homeruns..................................................47
Click to expand...
Shouldn’t our delta between Opponents ERA against us and our team ERA be 4.18?
 
Farmer has steadily improved at the plate in recent weeks. He’s batting somewhere North of 0.275. Nothing to complain about. Stewart, Winfield, Gumbo, Service, Scott…someone from that group has to elevate their play at bat.
 
That 9 hole guy is just an out. A deadman almost bats as good as the guy in that slot. I think Gumbo has worsened since his freshman year. I remember him still striking out but at least he would battle and possibly get a walk or lay down a bunt for base hit. He's had 26 at bats and only 3 hits more than a dead guy.

He should be a pro by now at the sac bunt. At least move someone over but don't just be an out.

Winfield and Stewart aren't really much better.

2nd option is to put your best defensive player in LF, at least catch everything that ends up out there, who cares at this point if you can't hit cause neither can anyone else. :lmao:

Jonah or Scott???? Can't be any worse.
 
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As for Winfields drop, I can handle one in a season in the outfield, I can't handle two in one season by the same person. After all, this is college baseball at the highest level or supposed to be.
 
Don't look now but Farmer is batting better than Flores. :yikes:

I knew Flores wasn't quite hitting where I thought he could but didn't know the gap between those two was closed.

Flores has hit 9 more HR's though than Farmer. :lmao:
 


And the hits keep on coming. Shoulder injuries are crappy, they can take a while to heal but he’s young, hopefully he heals up soon.
 
Ok. More bad news from Mendoza. First and foremost I want him to heal up fully, even if that means missing some games. We are all about peaking at the post-season.

I think A-Rod is back from the DL to stay.

So, if A-Rod is playing this weekend, and Mendoza is not, then we're probably looking something like this:

1B Kimble
2B A-Rod (or maybe DH or OF)
SS Flores
3B Borba
C Galvan
CF Will Gasparino
RF or LF Farmer
RF or LF Winfield* or Gumbo or Scott or Jonah or Service
DH Stewart (bats 0.171 with a homerun and 2 doubles--better than the other options).

*Probably go with Winfield--he's the only one of these guys batting 0.200 or over.

So the top 7 above look pretty decent or better. As stated elsewhere, Farmer is now batting reasonably well. He's not a power hitter, but he's got a batting average over 0.275 and will hit the occasional double. Plus he walks a fair amount. He's come around. The 8 and 9 holes are pretty weak.
 
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Sooooooooooooooo..................................................

We could be looking at some 3-2 or 4-3 games this series.
 
Chop said:
Pitching: Our pitching is better overall, although their staff Ace, Samuel Dutton, 2.34 ERA, 1.14 WHIP in 50 innings, has better numbers than any of our starters. The game Dutton pitches in will be our toughest game. The other two starters are no slouches either, and while their bullpen isn't full of shutdown guys, it's full of a lot of depth of pretty good hurlers with pretty good numbers. Overall, we have a noticeable edge in pitching, but the one game that Dutton pitches, they will have the statistical edge on us.

Batting -- they have a lot of high batting average guys. This team is built to get a bunch of base hits. They don't have gaudy homerun numbers like Georgia, in fact, they hit less homeruns than us--but not by a large margin. Our team OPS is only very slightly above their team OPS. Without injuries, these are equal batting teams. But, alas, there are injuries. Will A-Rod be back and 100%? If not, they're a better batting team than us. In fact, when you take out Belyeu alone, they're a better batting team than us--but not by a whole lot. Slight-to-moderate advantage Auburn. Let's hope A-Rod is good-to-go.

Overall: These guys are good, and they're now up to #5 in the Nation per the RPI, which has decent validity at this point in the Season. On paper, it's a hard-fought series that could go either way, with slight-to-moderate odds in our favor to take 2 out of 3. If we were to somehow sweep them, that would be awesome. It is unlikely that Auburn will win both games where Dutton is not their starter, so if we were to get swept, that would be a bit of a surprise.
Click to expand...
With Mendoza gone, make that a significant advantage to Auburn wrt batting lineups.

Doesn't mean that we won't knock some homers with the help of that South wind. I like Grubbs pitching for lots of innings in a game where a strong South wind is a factor. He gets the ground balls.
 
mchammer said:
Wind blowing out. Belyeu with one hand could hit a home run in these conditions.
Click to expand...
Yeah, at bat we may just have to bash them. Without Mendoza and Belyeu, and with A-Rod at possibly less than 100%, our team batting average looks like crap. Power hitting could be the key to this series, even if it means a bunch of solo homeruns.

Galvan
Gasparino
Flores
Borba
A-Rod (I hope he's back to his normal level of play)
 
#8 AUBURN vs. #1 TEXAS
April 17-19, 2025
Where: UFCU Disch-Falk Field
Time: Thursday at 7 p.m.; Friday at 6 p.m.; Saturday at 2 p.m.
TV: SEC Network+
Radio: The Zone AM-1300/103.1 FM
Live stats: texas.statbroadcast.com

PROBABLE PITCHING MATCHUPS
THURSDAY – Auburn RHP Samuel Dutton (5-2, 2.34 ERA) vs. Texas LHP Jared Spencer (4-1, 3.08 ERA)
FRIDAY – Auburn LHP Cade Fisher (1-0, 3.91 ERA) vs. Texas LHP Luke Harrison (2-0, 2.92 ERA)
SATURDAY – Auburn RHP Andreas Alvarez (1-0, 6.43 ERA) vs. Texas RHP Ruger Riojas (7-1, 3.34 ERA)


texaslonghorns.com

No. 1 Baseball preview: No. 8 Auburn - University of Texas Athletics

Longhorns meet Tigers for first time in nearly 30 years.
texaslonghorns.com texaslonghorns.com
 
Here's their top 7 batters by batting average (7 guys at 0.299 or better):

Fralick.................0.351
McMurray..........0.348
Irish....................0.345
Rembert.............0.315
Terrell.................0.311
Belyeu*..............0.301
Snow..................0.299

They have 4 other batters North of 0.250.

And their Strength of Schedule thus far is #1 in the Nation, so they're batting like that against good pitching.

1744924471211.png

"They get on base."
(speaking of which, they have 6 batters with on-base %s over 0.400, and 4 more over 0.350)
 
Homeruns:

McMurray leads them with 8
Irish with 7
Snow with 5
and five separate guys with 4 each

So their entire lineup is sprinkled with decent to pretty good power hitting, but no stand-out bashers on the level of Gasparino or Galvan, for instance.
 
Head Coach -- Butch Thompson

This Mississippi native's background is as an assistant and associate head coach at Miss-State. He's been at Auburn since 2015, and has taken the Tigers to the CWS twice in the past 5 years.

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auburntigers.com

Butch Thompson

Butch Thompson
auburntigers.com auburntigers.com
 
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