Horns vs Nevada: Who wins and why

Discussion in 'Men’s Basketball' started by caryhorn, Mar 11, 2018 at 10:31 PM.

  1. caryhorn

    caryhorn 2,500+ Posts

    I think Nevada will be a tough match up. They are high scoring, averaging 83 per game. But the real issue about that is how they score. They shoot the three at 40%. They are very comfortable sitting at the arc and jacking it up. Which means Mo, Sims, and O being big down low, with two of the three being shot blockers, really won't help us defend them that much.

    Nevada isn't going to depend on in the paint scoring. Roach, Coleman, Young, and Febres will have their hands full playing defense at the arc. Coleman has to stay out of foul trouble.

    The upside is we should be able to have our way inside. We should be able to feed our big three all night long. That is, if we can play disciplined offense and not go brain dead and start jacking up long jumpers.

    I'm really rooting for the good guys. And this group, and the coach, are genuinely good guys.

    This is going to be a very close game (what's new) and I am afraid our tendency to play undisciplined, go to the three point shot needlessly, will be our downfall.

    I wouldn't put any money on the Horns to win. Please Horns, bring me a nice slice of crow Saturday morning for breakfast.
  2. BabHorn

    BabHorn 10,000+ Posts

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  3. Htown77

    Htown77 2,500+ Posts

    We hit the million threes we jack up = we win.
    We do not hit the million threes we jack up = we lose.

    Do we hit the threes or not? I have no idea.
  4. BabHorn

    BabHorn 10,000+ Posts

    Nevada is 0-2 vs Big 12 teams this season, although the games very pretty close.
    Dec 5 (Tue) at Texas Tech University L, 76-82 OT
    Dec 8 (Fri) vs No. 20 TCU L, 80-84
    caryhorn likes this.
  5. ProdigalHorn

    ProdigalHorn 10,000+ Posts

    This is clearly a winnable game, and I suspect the defense that we play will be as good as they have seen all year (assuming we're dialed in and focused.)
  6. mb227

    mb227 1,000+ Posts

    That is a mighty big IF...after all, this squad seems to excel at being inconsistent on the days that end in a Y. And I believe the game is being played on one of those days...
    caryhorn likes this.
  7. caryhorn

    caryhorn 2,500+ Posts

    Yep, this entrenches my view that its a tossup. We lost to both of those teams too. and beat both of those teams.
    It is definitely a winnable game.
    LOL. And it is definitely a lose-able game.
    X Misn Tx, Htown77 and txlandagent like this.
  8. txlandagent

    txlandagent 500+ Posts

    As much as I hate to say this, I have Nevada winning in both of my brackets. Musselman is a solid coach with a ton of HC experience including NBA level. If it's a complete push, I'm defaulting to coach quality and Nevada has the angle there. He's really good at getting everything out of his players every game.

    Wolf Pack's primary rotation features mostly Juniors and Seniors with good chemistry. They're small in the post but they have big guards and they're just a well balanced basketball team that seems to get it done on offense - they can score from anywhere and they're going to get to the free throw line.

    I'm afraid it's going to be a hard fought battle and is going to come down to 1) coaching/scheme 2) free throws at the end; which are not our strengths.

    I guess since Bamba is healthy now he's going to be back in the starting line up and will get 30+ mins. Which is not the best lineup for us. IMO.

    But what do I know. I really hope I'm wrong.
    Last edited: Mar 12, 2018 at 3:22 PM
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  9. 22Horn

    22Horn 100+ Posts

    txlandagent, what would your starting lineup be
  10. txlandagent

    txlandagent 500+ Posts

    Sims - Snowbirdkowski - Coleman - Young - Roach
  11. Statalyzer

    Statalyzer 10,000+ Posts

    I worry that we're going to succumb to the temptation to jack up as many threes as possible to "respond".
  12. Htown77

    Htown77 2,500+ Posts

    I did not consider this... but this is very possible.
  13. ProdigalHorn

    ProdigalHorn 10,000+ Posts

    I'd put that worry aside. Typically they start jacking up as many threes as possible right from the beginning.
    Statalyzer, VYFan and txlandagent like this.
  14. dukesteer

    dukesteer 1,000+ Posts

    Defend the threes...and I mean REALLY defend the 3s, light a fire under Snowbirdkowski but keep him away from the 3-point line if he’s missing 80% (which he usually does), and we might have a decent chance. I would also start and feature Young until we are convinced that he doesn’t have the magic. I love his energy.
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  15. I_Dont_Exist

    I_Dont_Exist 500+ Posts

    If it helps I've recorded and watched every minute of every show on ESPN and all the rest and a lot of the talking heads like us in this game and call us a potential bracket buster. I don't agree but there it is.
  16. SAMMCHornfan

    SAMMCHornfan 100+ Posts

    Healthy Bamba, decent floor general in Young and the newly discovered best sixth man in Young, let the Shaka madness begin!
  17. p_town_horn

    p_town_horn 1,000+ Posts

    This! This season Texas has played to the level of its competition. We have played Tech, Gonzaga, Duke and other good teams well. We have also nearly lost to Tennessee State and Iowa State.

    If our best team shows up, we win by 10+. I like this match-up for us. Shaka just needs to have the team ready to play at game time.
    Statalyzer likes this.
  18. p_town_horn

    p_town_horn 1,000+ Posts

    Good article on the Texas v. Nevada match-up

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  19. ProdigalHorn

    ProdigalHorn 10,000+ Posts

    From Osetkowsky on pratice:

    "“About 30 minutes ago I had a wide-open three in practice. Coach Smart blows the whistle. “D.O. That’s not a good shot!” I’m looking at him like, ‘What are you talking about? I’ve been shooting these all season.’ ‘We want to get in the paint! We want to get in the paint!’"

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  20. caryhorn

    caryhorn 2,500+ Posts

    This ^^^sounds like the first time O has heard it all season. Wouldn't one think Smart has been yelling that instruction all season? Yeah, maybe not. Oh well, we shall see tomorrow.
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  21. Vol Horn 4 Life

    Vol Horn 4 Life 2,500+ Posts

    This was going to be my post in a nutshell. Since we are literally one of the worst 3 point shooting teams in the country and Shaka hasn't figured out how to utilize our decidedly large size advantage I'm going to say we whiff today.
    Htown77 likes this.
  22. Vol Horn 4 Life

    Vol Horn 4 Life 2,500+ Posts

    Well, at least he's coaching for what I firmly believe is the right approach to this game. We'll never keep up with Nevada in a run and gun three point contest. We have to control the game tempo and work our bigs down low in a very deliberate manner.
  23. txlandagent

    txlandagent 500+ Posts

    Is this for real? If it is, it's very troubling...and telling. I can't say I'm surprised.
  24. ViperHorn

    ViperHorn 5,000+ Posts

    Yup. Nevada scores ~70. Texas hits the three's and will win by 10 or so. Texas misses the three's and loses by 10 or so.
    Htown77 likes this.
  25. Statalyzer

    Statalyzer 10,000+ Posts

    I don't mind a wide open three, it's all the contested ones that bug me.

    Haha, too real...
  26. SabreHorn

    SabreHorn 2,500+ Posts

    That would be a novel approach. Haven't seen a lot of that from Smart since he arrived.

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  27. Htown77

    Htown77 2,500+ Posts

    This Nevada team is tiny, yet 3 of our first 4 shots were 3s. JUST GO INSIDE EVERY TIME AND WE CAN WIN THIS HANDILY!!!!!!
  28. caryhorn

    caryhorn 2,500+ Posts

    Right before the break, Nev scores on an uncontested layup where the guy drives to the hoop from the arc, and was fouled. Bamba was at the FT line guarding no one. He was suckered out there and did not even see the scorer head to the hoop. He has got to be smarter.
    There should be no, nada, none uncontested layups at this stage.
  29. Walking Boss

    Walking Boss 500+ Posts

    Does the Nevada big man shoot a high percentage fro 15-19 ft? I truly don’t know, but Bamba should not be more than five feet from the basket on d unless his man has the ball.
    SabreHorn likes this.
  30. Walking Boss

    Walking Boss 500+ Posts

    If the refs call it this tight on rebounding we are done

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