TCU?? With the way aggy is playing this year we should be asking How bad would Arkansas St beat a&m, oh wait...
I'd make TCU a 16 point favorite on the road, and a 21 point favorite in Fort Worth. And yes, it amazes me that I'm not exaggerting for effect -- I can write such a thing with a straight face.
A more interesting question or two...Will sand aggy hang 77 on fake army this weekend? How bad will Bible aggy beat the toy soldiers in a few weeks? Is there room for aggy in the Southland Conference?
According to my IPS (Impact Prediction System) which predicts scores based on prior performance (e.g. a team scores 7 more points than their opponents normally give up), the score would be (on a neutral field): TCU 31 Aggy 16 That did not include TCU's impressive win (although the IPS did predict it) or the impending ***-whoopin' of the Aggies by Tech this weekend.
Missouri averages 48.3 that's 19.6 more than what their opponents give up. Their defense allows 21.3 that's -14.6 what their opponents normally score. While Texas averages 46.8 that's 16.4 more than what our opponents give up. Our defense allows 15.3 that's -13.6 what our opponents normally score. Factors all of those impacts against what the teams normally score, make adjustments (e.g. Homefield, non-D1 opponents, ...) and the IPS predicts: Horns 37, Mizzou 32.
TCU look pretty good. Not even fair comparing to aNm. Kansas-TCU sounds like a fair fight to me. aNm would be down about 27-3 at half and then its just wait and see how interested TCU would be in humiliating them.
