Top 16--We’re #1
- Thread starter Chop
- Start date
Thanks to NIL its a heckuva lot easier today than 10 years ago to get them on campus.
Who would rather knock around the minors for years when you can go hang out with a bunch of coeds on campus making a couple hundy a year? College ball is so much more appealing unless there's a giant contract on the line...which is a very small percentage of players.
Going to stand by this. A lot of you don’t understand the math (Gaussian distribution) behind the numbers of one conference having 14 teams (SEC) vs the B12 (9 baseball teams). Having 50% more teams substantially increases the number of teams having a superlative season that gets funneled and/or sorted via the NCAA tourney into CWS appearances. Is SEC better? Sure, it’s because they have 50% more good baseball team a than anyone else. Don’t mistake quantity for quality.
It’s because SEC has more teams. You are mistaking quantity for quality.
Wake is struggling right now against Clemson. I don't think we have to worry about Clemson, I think our win is better, I think we leap frog them no matter what.
Exciting times, this team is performing better than expected against top competition but the offense is still not hitting to its potential. Pitching is starting to get figured out, the roles, very good sign.
This team could be the most dangerous team in the country by the end of the season. This team still has a lot of growth and I'm sure we will see a few hiccups. Great times.
This team could be the most dangerous team in the country by the end of the season. This team still has a lot of growth and I'm sure we will see a few hiccups. Great times.
How did Georgia get good? Just another SEC team that occasionally pops out of the old 14 team conference to have a superlative season?
I'm honestly surprised Georgia hasn't been at the top of the SEC for years now, there is a lot of talent in Georgia and close proximity to Florida.
You are mistaking winning as being somehow lucky. I posted an entire decade worth of results. The SEC has dominated college baseball the last decade plus. It doesn't matter how many teams are in it, they still have to win or are you forgetting that? Half the conference has won a recent world series. Thats not a numbers game, thats a talent game.
How bout that Ole Miss team 2-3 years ago that just barely squeaked into the postseason, and ended up winning it all. What I remember is that they had a couple of long-haired pitchers who absolutely caught fire in the post-season and nobody could hit them.
Most of their good hitters were batting around 0.265 or 0.275 on the year. And they weren't jacking up homerun after homerun either.
It's just that nobody could hit their pitching in the postseason (unlike in the regular season).
Yep.
High School baseball talent:
Traditionally:
1. California
2. Florida
3. Texas
--big gap--
4-50 everybody else
Now, it looks more like:
1-2. California - Texas (tie)
3. Florida
4-9. Bunch of Southern States, including Georgia and Louisiana, maybe also throw Arizona in there.
--big gap--
10-50. everybody else.
I don't know exactly, but they're putting ridiculous numbers of runs on the board against decent competition. And their pitching looks solid too.
Let’s look at 2014. 3 B12 teams made the CWS. That is a 3/9 ratio (33%) vs 2/14 (14%) from the SEC that year. Has the SEC ever sent 5 teams to the CWS in a single year?
Let’s look at 2016. 3 B12 teams made the CWS. That is a 3/9 ratio (33%) vs 1/14 (7%) from the SEC that year. Has the SEC ever sent 5 teams to the CWS in a single year? B12 has done the equivalent twice.
According to your logic, the casino only wins because it is lucky. It’s not luck, it’s loading the dice to get one or more of your teams into the CWS. Since SEC has had 50% more teams than the old B12, it’s like giving you an extra round of cards in poker vs the competition.
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The split in Northern HS baseball talent and Sun-Belt HS baseball talent has grown so much in recent decades because of club teams and year-round baseball. In previous generations, baseball was seasonal only, so the Sun-Belt only had about a 30 day advantage. In the real olden days, lots of great ball players were urban stick ball players in their youth from places like NYC and Philadelphia.
Let’s look at 2018. 2 B12 teams made the CWS. That is a 2/9 ratio (22/%) vs 3/14 (21%) from the SEC that year. 22% is bigger than 21%.
I gave you 3 examples above where the player (B12) beat the house (SEC) despite the odds against them. In the other years, it was SEC 3 teams vs 1 teams B12, or 4 to 2. Even though the comparison is closer on a percentage basis, it doesn’t matter. Let’s put it this way, if the SEC could bet on 3 horses per race but the B12 can only bet on two, which conference is going to select the most winners?
If you had 14 quarters and I had 9, and then we started flipping them calling heads I win, and tails I lose, who is going to have the most quarters at the end of this?
If every team in the B12 was the same quality (or even slightly better) as every team in the SEC, guess which conference will have more CWS appearances despite being the same or slightly worse than the B12?
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