Weekly Prediction Results and Season Overall Standings

Discussion in 'On The Field' started by militaryhorn, Sep 4, 2021.

  1. HornHuskerDad

    HornHuskerDad 5,000+ Posts

    I'm finding that it's much easier to predict the score after the game than before.
     
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  2. LonghornDave

    LonghornDave 1,000+ Posts

    Some of my scores are spot on but for the wrong games.
     
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  3. WorsterMan

    WorsterMan 10,000+ Posts

    I'm finding my score predictions generally suck every week. Also, predicting Horn games this season has been somewhat painful....
     
    • Agree Agree x 5
  4. mb227

    mb227 5,000+ Posts

    Concur...and injury situation has me looking to a score picking portal for transfer LOL!

    On the bright side, and keeping me from the ledge, is that price on Bijan for Heisman dropped again. Vegas paid attention even in the loss...
     
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  5. LonghornDave

    LonghornDave 1,000+ Posts

    I hope for his sake he continues to have a great year. A rematch against Oklahoma could do it.
     
    • Like Like x 2
  6. HoffHorn

    HoffHorn 250+ Posts

    MilitaryHorn,

    Lots of data! I know!

    I had submitted:
    47 Texas
    41 OU

    just an FYI.
     
  7. LonghornDave

    LonghornDave 1,000+ Posts

    If there weren't so much Quan involved, I would not care.
     
  8. LAGA4

    LAGA4 250+ Posts

    I think if there was only one thread it would help. I entered Prediction for OU game and it never got recorded. I guess I entered it on the wrong thread.

    I sure would hate to lose out on the $100k first prize because of a clerical error.
     
    • Funny Funny x 3
  9. HoffHorn

    HoffHorn 250+ Posts

    MilitaryHorn:
    Copy of post and date:


    Horns - 47
    Land Thieves - 41

    Victory cocktails at my house! You’re all invited! Let’s do this!

    Oct 5, 2021
     
  10. militaryhorn

    militaryhorn Prediction Contest Guru

    I will correct. I will have an updated Overall here in a few minutes.
     
  11. militaryhorn

    militaryhorn Prediction Contest Guru

    Overall Standings are updated and here is an update of the Week 6 Results

    Week 6 Prediction Results.jpg
     
  12. Creek

    Creek 1,000+ Posts

    What's the formula for Total points?
     
  13. militaryhorn

    militaryhorn Prediction Contest Guru

    Total points for those who had incorrect picks' is the sum total of Point Differential + MOV + Total Score Differential - Actual MOV

    In your prediction from last week it would break down as follows:

    Actual Score OU 55 Texas 48; MOV 7; Total Points 103

    Your Prediction OU 20 Texas 31; MOV 11; Total Points 51


    Point Differential: OU 55 - 20 = 35; Texas 48-31 = 17; 35 + 17 = 52

    MOV: 11 + 7 + 7 = 25

    Total Points: 103 - 51 = 52

    Actual MOV: 7

    Total Points: 52 + 25 + 52 - 7 = 122

    I know MOV looks screwed up but the way I have things set up in Excel I had to subtract the Actual MOV to account for the way it is calculated. Since you had an incorrect pick for the game, meaning, you pick Texas to win by 11 points or in terms of a spread for betting -11. The actual MOV was +7 by OU.

    To account for picking the wrong winner compared to those who picked the correct winner, but might have the same MOV, it is calculated as absolute values. As @Sangre Naranjada put it, think of it as the difference of those two numbers on a number line.

    MOV Line.jpg

    A correct pick will not have this since it would only be the difference of the predicted MOV and the Actual MOV as in the case of zuckercanyon's predition. The prediction had OU winning by -4. When his Total Score is calculated he was given 3 to his Total Score. Those who predict the correct winner do not have the actual MOV subtracted like those who did not pick the correct winner.

    Correct picks' Total Score is calculated as follows:

    Point Differential + MOV + Total Score Differential

    In zuckercanyon's case it would be as follows:

    Actual Score OU 55 Texas 48; MOV 7; Total Points 103

    Prediction OU 38 Texas 34; MOV 4; Total Points 72


    Point Differential: OU 55 - 38 = 17; Texas 48-34 = 14; 17 + 14 = 31

    MOV Differential: 7 - 4 = 3

    Total Points: 103 - 72 = 31

    Total Points: 31 + 3 + 31 = 65

    The reason so many Incorrect Picks were scored lower than zuckercanyon, even though he was the lowest total who picked the winner, was those individuals had the best prediction based on the actual score for each team.

    Even with the penalty of picking the wrong winner, their score was so close to actual score for each team with total points included put them ahead the first poster who picked the correct winner.

    I hope this helps clarifies it for you. After the season we as a community can discuss changes to implement for next year.
     
  14. militaryhorn

    militaryhorn Prediction Contest Guru

    Weekly Results and the Overall is also updated.

    Week 7 Prediction Results.jpg
     
  15. X Misn Tx

    X Misn Tx 2,500+ Posts

    the last two games have been hard on me. :sigh:
     
  16. militaryhorn

    militaryhorn Prediction Contest Guru

    Congrats to @Run Pincher Pincher for our first perfect prediction for the year. Sucks that it was a losing prediction for Texas but still great selection and should be recognized.

    Week 9 Prediction Results.jpg
     
  17. Run Pincher

    Run Pincher 1,000+ Posts

    I don't take any pleasure in it. It's just knowing this team will find a way to snatch defeat out of victory.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  18. militaryhorn

    militaryhorn Prediction Contest Guru

    Week 10 results. Ugh...

    Week 10 Prediction Results.jpg
     
  19. George Bailey

    George Bailey No beans in my chili, thank you


    Ahem, you b1tchez betta recognize.

    [​IMG]
     
    • Winner Winner x 2
  20. militaryhorn

    militaryhorn Prediction Contest Guru

    What's sad is you were to optimistic about our score.
     
  21. George Bailey

    George Bailey No beans in my chili, thank you

    I really wanted to believe we could get close enough for a couple of FGs.
     
  22. mb227

    mb227 5,000+ Posts

    7-3 at the half and we wind up with this abomination.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
    • Hot Hot x 1
  23. Texanne

    Texanne 5,000+ Posts

    This team has no killer instinct.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  24. mb227

    mb227 5,000+ Posts

    I think that they would need to consult the Baylor MBB for that...
     
  25. WorsterMan

    WorsterMan 10,000+ Posts

    Predicting these games has become more painful every week....

    @LonghornCatholic can you offer up some Hail Mary's or something to halt this terrible skid and comfort our suffering fanbase?

    Asking for several friends....
     
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  26. BevoJoe

    BevoJoe 10,000+ Posts

    I was talking with a buddy, also a Texas Grad and Horn fan, about the current situation with the team, I said to him maybe we can say a few Hail Mary's before the next game. He replied, "Remember, I'm Jewish." So, I changed it and said, "Ok. I'll say a few Hail Mary's and you can say a few Hail Moses." We had a good laugh about that.
     
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  27. WorsterMan

    WorsterMan 10,000+ Posts

    If the Horns lose to KU, I will continue to be a 2021 season suffering supporter but I will head for the fan portal for the rest of the season to UTSA!:facepalm:
     
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    Last edited: Nov 11, 2021
  28. mb227

    mb227 5,000+ Posts

    At least you would still be supporting UT...so you would have that going for you...
     
    • Funny Funny x 1
  29. militaryhorn

    militaryhorn Prediction Contest Guru

    Here are the results from week 11

    Week 11 Prediction Results.jpg
     
  30. mb227

    mb227 5,000+ Posts

    Not sure how I wound up as a 'no pick.'

    I had one earlier in the week that actually called for Texas winning 54-27...Thursday just before 2PM. Clearly I whiffed on the winner, but at least I was close on the Texas score.
    #50
     

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