On paper, this should be a Texas win. How hard it will be get that result is the question. It is a matter of pace. The end result is in the half court set, both will look to go inside-out. But Texas will fast break at every opportunity, off defensive rebounds, steals, off opponents’ made baskets. KSU plays a more deliberate style as indicated by their taking 70+ less shots in the same number of games.
Horns will bring three players in double digits (Ariel, Brooke & Joyner) with two others on the cusp (Kelsey @ 9.6 & LaShann @ 8.6). KSU doesn’t break down their stats by season and conference but they have three players listed among the top 30 scorers in the league: Breana Lewis, Kindred Wesemann, and Karlya Middlebrook.
Neither team is great at defending the 3 (Texas is fifth allowing 31.5% while KSU allows 37.0% for seventh. KSU’s Wesemann (2.5 3s pg) and Kaylee Page (1.5 3s pg @ 41.5%) and Texas’ Brooke (2.5 3s pg @ 45.2%) and Ariel (1.1 3s pg @41.4%) have to figure that they will have the opportunity to get some open looks during the game. Two years ago, Wesemann hit 8-11 from BTA in a 66-57 win at KSU. Bet both the Horns and KSU remember that. Although Texas has held her to 4-19 in the three games since, all Longhorn wins.
The other interesting battle will be inside where Kelsey and Joyner will face off with KSU’s own senior/freshman duo of Lewis and Eternati Willock, a name some may remember as there was talk at one time of her being a Texas recruiting target. However, she missed Wednesday’s game due to illness. So, it is unclear if she will be able to play Saturday or how effective she will be or long she will be able play. All four are among the top 14 rebounders in the league with Kelsey, Joyner & Lewis among the top seven.
Hope y’all enjoy the game in person. I will be sitting this one out due to illness.
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